Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 β 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently treats official alien confirmation by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point jump over 24 hours suggests a notable shift in conviction, moving beyond mere noise. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment, indicating that the market is taking this long-shot possibility seriously. For a "YES" payout, there would need to be an official, verifiable confirmation of extraterrestrial life by a recognized authority before the end of 2030.
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