Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point upward shift over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not definitive, increase in conviction among participants. With $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment, indicating it's not easily swayed by minimal activity. The absence of a specific resolution date means the market has an open-ended timeline for this outcome to materialize.
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