Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
0%chance of Yes
-5%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026 — 0% YES
The market is pricing a "Yes" resolution at 0%, indicating it's considered an extreme longshot, with implied odds of roughly 99-to-1 against Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 tweets between June 8 and June 10, 2026. The 5-point drop in the last 24 hours, alongside significant recent trading volume, suggests a notable shift in conviction away from "Yes" as the resolution approaches. With only about a day left until resolution and nearly $150,000 traded recently, this price, while technically thin overall, reflects a fairly confident collective judgment that Musk will exceed 39 posts. For "Yes" to pay out, Elon Musk's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts must total 39 or fewer within the specified 48-hour window.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $169K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $148K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 10, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
