Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026 β 3% YES
This market, currently at 3%, indicates the crowd sees it as a deep longshot with implied odds of about 36.7-to-1 against. The 5-point drop over the last 24 hours represents a notable shift in conviction, suggesting a real change in sentiment rather than mere noise. However, with thin participation and only $84,213 traded, this price remains tentative and could swing on modest flow as the market approaches its resolution in approximately one day. For a "YES" payout, Elon Musk must post between 90 and 114 times on X (main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts only, excluding replies unless they appear on the main feed) between June 8, 12:00 PM ET and June 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 8 12:00 PM ET to June 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.