Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a notable uptick in conviction, moving beyond mere noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an official, verifiable announcement or disclosure confirming extraterrestrial life within the specified timeframe.
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