Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 9?
0%chance of Yes
-10%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 9 — 0% YES
The market currently prices the likelihood of Ankara reaching exactly 28°C on June 9th at 0%, treating it as a deep longshot with implied odds of roughly 99-to-1 against. This near-zero price, which saw a significant 10-point drop in the last 24 hours, reflects a strong collective judgment that this specific outcome is highly improbable. Despite the sharp move, the overall thin participation of under $10,000 traded suggests this is a tentative price that could still swing on modest flow, especially given that the resolution date is at or past, meaning the price is likely close to final. For a "Yes" payout, the highest temperature recorded at Esenboğa Intl Airport Station on June 9th must be precisely 28°C according to Wunderground.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $9.7K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $8.7K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 9, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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