Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
This market, currently pricing at 28%, suggests the crowd views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as an underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours represents a notable shift in conviction, indicating more than just market noise. With $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment, though the absence of a resolution date means there's ample time for further movement. For a "Yes" payout, there must be an official, public confirmation of extraterrestrial life by a credible government or scientific body.
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