Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, making it a clear underdog with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. This price reflects a notable 6-point increase over the past 24 hours, suggesting a real, albeit still minority, shift in conviction rather than mere noise. With $4.2 million traded, this is a solid market with good liquidity, indicating the current price is well-supported by collective judgment. The absence of a specific resolution date means there's ample time for further price movement as new information (or lack thereof) emerges.
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