Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point uptick suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, indicating some growing belief in a "Yes" outcome. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a relatively confident market, meaning significant new information would likely be needed to dramatically alter these odds. The absence of a resolution date implies a longer-term horizon, allowing ample time for new developments to influence the price.
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