Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of alien life by 2030 at 28%, treating it as a clear underdog with roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against. A notable 6-point surge over the past 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit modest, shift in collective conviction rather than mere noise, backed by solid participation with $4.2 million traded. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an official, public acknowledgment of extraterrestrial life by a credible authority. The absence of a specified resolution date means this market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for continued price discovery.
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