Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
This market, currently pricing an official alien confirmation by 2030 at 28%, treats the event as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point uptick, backed by solid trading volume of $4.2 million, suggests a genuine, albeit still minority, shift in conviction rather than mere market noise. Given the absence of a specific resolution date, this price reflects a long-term outlook, with plenty of time for further movement as new information or events emerge.
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