Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not definitive, uptick in conviction, moving beyond mere market noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment, indicating the market isn't easily swayed by thin volume. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an official, verifiable announcement or disclosure confirming the existence of extraterrestrial life.
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