Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, implying roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against such an announcement. The recent 6-point upward shift over the past 24 hours suggests a notable, though not definitive, increase in conviction among participants. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment, indicating it's not easily swayed by minor fluctuations. For a "YES" payout, there would need to be an official, verifiable statement or event confirming extraterrestrial life within the specified timeframe.
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