Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
This market, trading at 28%, indicates the crowd sees official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The 6-point jump over the last 24 hours is a notable shift, suggesting a real, albeit modest, increase in conviction rather than mere noise. With $4.2 million traded, participation is solid, lending a degree of confidence to this price, though the lack of a resolution date means there's ample time for further movement. For a "Yes" payout, an official, verifiable confirmation of extraterrestrial life would need to occur.
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