Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point increase in the last 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction towards a "Yes" resolution. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment, rather than a thinly traded, easily swayed market. The market's resolution hinges on an official, authoritative confirmation of alien existence by 2030, with no specific end date provided for the market, leaving ample time for future price movements.
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