Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, indicating the crowd views this as a clear underdog with roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against it occurring. Despite this, a 6-point rise over the past 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit small, shift in conviction rather than mere noise. With $4.2 million traded, there's solid participation, meaning the current price reflects a reasonably confident collective judgment.
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