Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point upward shift over the past 24 hours suggests a notable, though not yet definitive, increase in collective belief. With $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid conviction from a well-capitalized market, indicating that it's unlikely to be mere noise. The absence of a specific resolution date means this market has a long time horizon for potential developments to influence the price.
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