Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point jump over 24 hours suggests a notable, rather than negligible, uptick in collective belief, indicating a genuine shift in conviction. With $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident market assessment, though the absence of a resolution date means the timeline for this outcome remains open-ended.
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