Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, implying roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against such an event. The recent 6-point uptick over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, moving beyond mere noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment rather than thin, easily swayed sentiment. For a "Yes" payout, an official, verifiable confirmation of extraterrestrial life must occur by the end of 2030, though the specific criteria for "official confirmation" are not detailed.
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