Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, this market treats official alien confirmation by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a notable, rather than negligible, shift in conviction among participants. With over $4 million traded, there's solid liquidity behind this price, indicating a reasonably confident collective assessment that isn't easily swayed. For a "Yes" payout, there would need to be an official, verifiable confirmation of alien existence by 2030, though the specific criteria for "official confirmation" are not detailed.
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