Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point upward shift over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, increase in conviction among participants. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment despite the long odds. The absence of a resolution date implies a longer-term horizon for this market, leaving ample time for potential price fluctuations.
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