Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a longshot, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge indicates a genuine, albeit still minority, shift in conviction rather than mere market noise, suggesting some new information or sentiment has entered the market. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and therefore a reasonably confident collective judgment, rather than a thinly traded, easily swayed figure. The lack of a specific resolution date means this market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for continued price discovery as events unfold.
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