Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, this market treats official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point uptick suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction over the last 24 hours, indicating some new information or interpretation has entered the market. With $4.2 million traded, there's solid liquidity behind this price, implying a reasonably confident collective assessment rather than a volatile, easily swayed figure. The lack of a specified resolution date means this market will remain open until 2030, allowing ample time for new developments to influence the price.
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