Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, indicating the crowd views this as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. A notable 6-point jump in the last 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit small, shift in collective conviction rather than mere noise, and the solid $4.2 million traded volume lends weight to this price as a confident assessment. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an official, widely accepted declaration of extraterrestrial life before the end of 2030.
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