Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official alien confirmation by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point jump over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not definitive, shift in conviction towards a "Yes" resolution. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment rather than thin noise, indicating a reasonably confident market. The resolution rule specifies that "official confirmation" is the payout trigger for "Yes," though the exact body or process for such confirmation is not detailed.
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