Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the crowd views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point jump suggests a genuine, albeit modest, increase in conviction, moving beyond mere market noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, indicating a relatively confident collective judgment that isn't easily swayed. For a "YES" payout, there must be an official, public confirmation of extraterrestrial life by a credible government or scientific body before the end of 2030.
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