Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina — 1% YES
At 1%, the market views Mark Lynch as a deep longshot for the Republican Senate nomination in South Carolina, implying a near 99-to-1 chance against his success. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in collective conviction. With only $22,368 traded overall and thin participation of $4,786 in the last 24 hours, this is a tentative price that could easily swing on modest new information or trading volume, despite the 7 weeks remaining until the primary resolution. For a "Yes" resolution, Lynch must be declared the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $22.4K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $4.8K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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