Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, indicating the crowd views this as a clear underdog with roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against it occurring. The recent 6-point upward shift over the last 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit modest, increase in conviction rather than mere noise, supported by solid participation with $4,200,000 traded. For a "Yes" payout, there would need to be an official, public confirmation of alien existence by a credible authority before the end of 2030.
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