Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2026 β 5% YES
The market currently prices a dissolution of the Malaysian House of Representatives by June 30, 2026, as a deep longshot, with only a 5% chance, implying very high odds against it. The recent 3-point dip is likely noise rather than a significant shift in conviction, especially given the thin participation with just over $1,000 traded in the last 24 hours, suggesting the price could swing easily. With only about 21 days until resolution, the market is nearing its final judgment, and a "Yes" resolution requires an official dissolution of the Dewan Rakyat by the specified date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Malaysian House of Representatives (Dewan Rakyat) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Malaysia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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