Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, implying roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against such an event occurring. The recent 6-point uptick over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in collective sentiment, moving the needle from a more distant longshot. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid conviction from a well-capitalized market, indicating it's not easily swayed by minor fluctuations. For a "Yes" resolution, there would need to be an official, widely accepted confirmation of extraterrestrial life before the end of 2030.
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