Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a longshot, with the crowd collectively judging it as unlikely to occur. The recent 6-point increase over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, moving it further from a deep longshot. With over $4 million traded, there's solid liquidity behind this price, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment that isn't easily swayed. For a "Yes" payout, there would need to be an official, verifiable confirmation of extraterrestrial life before the end of 2030.
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