Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
8%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 at 8%
On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" is trading at 8% YES with $346,669 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $347K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
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