Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point uptick over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, indicating some new information or sentiment has nudged the probability higher. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid market participation, suggesting a reasonably confident collective judgment rather than a thinly traded, easily swayed figure. The absence of a specific resolution date implies a longer-term horizon for this prediction, allowing for potential further movement as events unfold.
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