Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, treating it as a clear underdog with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point jump suggests a notable shift in conviction, moving beyond mere noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a confident collective judgment, indicating that the crowd sees a significant, though still unlikely, possibility of official confirmation. For a "Yes" payout, there would need to be an official, public acknowledgment of alien existence.
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