This trader primarily bets on geopolitical stability, particularly regarding Cuba and Israel, consistently taking "NO" positions on disruptive events. They favor high-odds outcomes, maintaining a concentrated portfolio with active trading, yet exhibit a contrarian streak by betting against significant shifts.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 50 open positions by value.
M2sx92kljs42 just placed $0 on YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $128 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
M2sx92kljs42 just placed $45 on NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $1.5K on NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $266 on NO
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $35 on NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $1.2K on NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $494 on NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $26 on NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $367 on YES
No one announced as next James Bond?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $500 on NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $282 on NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $35 on NO
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $248 on NO
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $88 on YES
No one announced as next James Bond?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $5.0K on NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $152 on NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $75 on NO
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $287 on NO
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $118 on NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $5.1K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $401 on NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $10 on NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $3 on YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $808 on YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $1.6K on NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $1.7K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $169 on NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $379 on YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $1.3K on NO
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $22 on NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $3.9K on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $8.6K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?M2sx92kljs42 just placed $750 on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?