Finance & Economy Prediction Markets

Odds on Fed rate decisions, recession risk, inflation, GDP, and the stock market. See the probabilities traders are pricing in for the economy.

FinancePolymarket

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?

83%YES

Volume

$29.4K

Source

Polymarket

📉FinanceKalshi

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

14%YES

Volume

$17.6K

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2030 — 2.6% to 3.0%

16%YES

Volume

$3.0K

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2030 — 0.0% or Below

13%YES

Volume

$1.5K

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 1.6% to 2.0%

11%YES

Volume

$1.2K

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2029 — 2.1% to 2.5%

17%YES

Volume

$930

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 2.6% to 3.0%

12%YES

Volume

$780

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 2.1% to 2.5%

7%YES

Volume

$663

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2029 — 2.6% to 3.0%

12%YES

Volume

$537

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 6.1% or Above

6%YES

Volume

$349

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2029 — 4.6% to 5.0%

3%YES

Volume

$237

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2029 — 5.1% to 5.5%

4%YES

Volume

$224

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2030 — 0.6% to 1.0%

8%YES

Volume

$98

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 3.6% to 4.0%

6%YES

Volume

$86

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 4.6% to 5.0%

4%YES

Volume

$82

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 0.1% to 0.5%

9%YES

Volume

$81

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 1.1% to 1.5%

6%YES

Volume

$79

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2030 — 1.1% to 1.5%

8%YES

Volume

$64

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2029 — 1.6% to 2.0%

10%YES

Volume

$50

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 4.1% to 4.5%

5%YES

Volume

$49

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 0.0% or Below

9%YES

Volume

$47

Source

Kalshi

📉FinanceKalshi

US real GDP growth in 2028 — 0.6% to 1.0%

9%YES

Volume

$47

Source

Kalshi