MarketsTechnology

Technology & AI Prediction Markets

Odds on AI breakthroughs, AGI timelines, OpenAI and big-tech milestones, and product launches. Follow where the smart money lands on the future of technology.

TechnologyPolymarket

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

42%YES
-12%
Volume
$693K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

90%YES
+2%
Volume
$413K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

47%YES
-28%
Volume
$328K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

32%YES
-27%
Volume
$226K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

97%YES
+1%
Volume
$189K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

2%YES
-2%
Volume
$155K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyKalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — Anthropic

84%YES
Volume
$141K
Source
Kalshi
TechnologyPolymarket

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

12%YES
-0%
Volume
$132K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

28%YES
+22%
Volume
$109K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

11%YES
+1%
Volume
$64.2K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

22%YES
-3%
Volume
$62.7K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

44%YES
+14%
Volume
$55.4K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

82%YES
+9%
Volume
$46.0K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarket

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

49%YES
+2%
Volume
$33.5K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyKalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — OpenAI

18%YES
Volume
$25.7K
Source
Kalshi
TechnologyKalshi

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

49%YES
Volume
$25.4K
Source
Kalshi
TechnologyKalshi

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

34%YES
Volume
$3.1K
Source
Kalshi