Finance & Economy Prediction Markets

Odds on Fed rate decisions, recession risk, inflation, GDP, and the stock market. See the probabilities traders are pricing in for the economy.

FinancePolymarket

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

82%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$4.8M

Source

Polymarket

FinancePolymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

4%YES

▲+0%

Volume

$3.9M

Source

Polymarket

FinancePolymarket

Fed rate hike in 2026?

49%YES

▼-2%

Volume

$1.5M

Source

Polymarket

FinancePolymarket

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

9%YES

▲+2%

Volume

$1.4M

Source

Polymarket

FinancePolymarket

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

94%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$1.1M

Source

Polymarket