MarketsPolitics
Politics Prediction Markets
Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually betting on, ranked by volume.
PoliticsPolymarketWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6%YES
-0%Volume
$33.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13%YES
Volume
$19.4M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
32%YES
-5%Volume
$15.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16%YES
-0%Volume
$13.4M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%YES
+1%Volume
$11.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16%YES
+2%Volume
$10.3M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
68%YES
+7%Volume
$8.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5%YES
-0%Volume
$7.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%YES
-1%Volume
$7.1M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41%YES
-1%Volume
$6.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3%YES
-0%Volume
$5.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9%YES
Volume
$3.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
54%YES
Volume
$3.3M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4%YES
+0%Volume
$3.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
17%YES
-1%Volume
$3.0M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
36%YES
-4%Volume
$2.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10%YES
+1%Volume
$2.0M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2%YES
-1%Volume
$1.9M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
84%YES
-1%Volume
$1.5M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
11%YES
-1%Volume
$638K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
5%YES
-7%Volume
$523K
Source
PolymarketPoliticsPolymarket
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
61%YES
Volume
$477K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
96%YES
+7%Volume
$430K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarketWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
97%YES
+5%Volume
$302K
Source
Polymarket