MarketsPolitics

Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually betting on, ranked by volume.

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%YES
-0%
Volume
$33.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

13%YES
Volume
$19.4M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

32%YES
-5%
Volume
$15.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

16%YES
-0%
Volume
$13.4M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3%YES
+1%
Volume
$11.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

16%YES
+2%
Volume
$10.3M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

68%YES
+7%
Volume
$8.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

5%YES
-0%
Volume
$7.8M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9%YES
-1%
Volume
$7.1M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

41%YES
-1%
Volume
$6.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3%YES
-0%
Volume
$5.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

9%YES
Volume
$3.6M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

54%YES
Volume
$3.3M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%YES
+0%
Volume
$3.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

17%YES
-1%
Volume
$3.0M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

36%YES
-4%
Volume
$2.2M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

10%YES
+1%
Volume
$2.0M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

2%YES
-1%
Volume
$1.9M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

84%YES
-1%
Volume
$1.5M
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

11%YES
-1%
Volume
$638K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

5%YES
-7%
Volume
$523K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

61%YES
Volume
$477K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

96%YES
+7%
Volume
$430K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

97%YES
+5%
Volume
$302K
Source
Polymarket