Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%YES

Volume

$35.0M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

11%YES

Volume

$22.8M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9%YES

Volume

$17.5M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

13%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$17.5M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

20%YES

▲+0%

Volume

$14.8M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

5%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$12.4M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

14%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$12.0M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$11.8M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

14%YES

Volume

$11.2M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Trump out as President before 2027?

8%YES

Volume

$10.2M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

10%YES

▲+2%

Volume

$8.2M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

4%YES

▲+0%

Volume

$8.2M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

61%YES

Volume

$7.5M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

25%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$7.5M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3%YES

▼-0%

Volume

$7.0M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

56%YES

Volume

$5.9M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

8%YES

▲+0%

Volume

$5.2M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2%YES

▼-0%

Volume

$4.8M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

4%YES

▼-0%

Volume

$4.1M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

76%YES

▲+12%

Volume

$3.6M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

36%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$3.5M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

10%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$2.8M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

7%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$2.6M

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

9%YES

▲+0%

Volume

$2.4M

Source

Polymarket