MarketsPolitics
Politics Prediction Markets
Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.
PoliticsKalshi
2028 Senate winner — Republican party
45%YES
Volume
$354
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
21%YES
Volume
$338
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
8%YES
Volume
$274
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense — Ron DeSantis
5%YES
Volume
$254
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence — Pete Hoekstra
7%YES
Volume
$247
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
How many Attorneys General will Trump have — 4
7%YES
Volume
$241
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
West Virginia governor winner? (2028) — Republican
50%YES
Volume
$238
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense — Dan Driscoll
10%YES
Volume
$221
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030 — Hungary
5%YES
Volume
$207
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor — Glenn Youngkin
17%YES
Volume
$206
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
West Virginia governor winner? (2028) — Democratic
50%YES
Volume
$203
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — Below 45
14%YES
Volume
$195
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
3%YES
Volume
$181
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary — Kari Lake
6%YES
Volume
$167
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next — Brooke Rollins
6%YES
Volume
$162
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
New York City mayoral election winner — Zohran Mamdani
58%YES
Volume
$156
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State — Ric Grenell
14%YES
Volume
$145
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence — Tom Cotton
2%YES
Volume
$142
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next — Michael Kratsios
6%YES
Volume
$134
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Will Trump recognize Taiwan — Before 2027
4%YES
Volume
$126
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence — Jason Chaffetz
6%YES
Volume
$122
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next — Jamieson Greer
5%YES
Volume
$121
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next — Lee Zeldin
5%YES
Volume
$119
Source
KalshiPoliticsKalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor — Andrew Puzder
2%YES
Volume
$110
Source
Kalshi