Fed rate hike in 2026?
73%chance of Yes
+6%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Fed rate hike in 2026 at 73%
On Polymarket, "Fed rate hike in 2026?" is trading at 73% YES with $4.6M in volume. It's moved +6% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $4.6M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $130K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 9, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
