Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently treats official alien confirmation by 2030 as a longshot, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a notable shift in conviction, moving beyond mere noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a reasonably confident collective judgment, indicating that the market has absorbed recent information and priced it in. The market will resolve to "Yes" if any official government or widely recognized scientific body unequivocally confirms the existence of extraterrestrial life before the end of 2030.
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