Human moon landing in 2026?
3%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Human moon landing in 2026 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Human moon landing in 2026?" is trading at 3% YES with $1.9M in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $1.9M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $435
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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