Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
5%chance of Yes
-3%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?" is trading at 5% YES with $133,410 in volume. It's moved -3% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $133K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $3.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
On October 9, 2025 Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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