Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit modest, uptick in collective conviction rather than mere market noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation and a relatively confident market, indicating that this level isn't easily swayed. The absence of a specific resolution date means this market has a long horizon, allowing for significant future price movement as new information emerges.
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