SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
4%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026 at 4%
On Polymarket, "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?" is trading at 4% YES with $17,677 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $17.7K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $135
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Frequently asked
What is the "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 4%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 4% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.