Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
20%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31 at 20%
On Polymarket, "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?" is trading at 20% YES with $81,820 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $81.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $332
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 20%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 20%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.