Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point uptick suggests a notable, rather than noisy, shift in conviction over the last 24 hours, indicating growing, albeit still minority, belief in a "Yes" resolution. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, suggesting a reasonably confident market view rather than one easily swayed by minimal activity. For "Yes" to pay out, an official, verifiable confirmation of alien existence would need to occur by the end of 2030.
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