Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
32%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026 at 32%
On Polymarket, "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" is trading at 32% YES with $54,895 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $54.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $28.6K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 20, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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