Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
83%chance of Yes
+19%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam at 83%
On Polymarket, "Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?" is trading at 83% YES with $19,820 in volume. It's moved +19% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $19.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $584
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Feb 28, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
